Data as of: September 1, 2026, 08:00 (UTC+8)
Corresponding US Stock Trading Day: August 31, 2026
1. Overnight US Stocks
On August 31, the US stock market declined in month-end trading as investors continued to digest the Jackson Hole meeting and Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's hawkish policy signals. Meanwhile, the market remained highly attentive to inflation pressures arising from the Middle East situation and rising oil prices.
That day, escalated military conflicts involving the US and Iran pushed international oil prices sharply higher, with Brent crude oil prices rising above $90 per barrel. The market worries that rising energy prices could further accelerate inflation and increase the pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates or even raise them further.
At the same time, Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole continued to influence the market.
The market’s expectations for the Fed’s interest rate policy at the September meeting have noticeably turned cautious, with traders pricing in more than a 60% chance of a rate hike in September.
Impacted by rate expectations and rising oil prices, the three major US stock indices collectively fell on August 31:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 53,185.90 (-0.71%)
S&P 500: 7,686.14 (-0.33%)
Nasdaq Composite Index: 26,370.89 (-0.12%)
Despite the decline on the day, all three indices recorded gains for the entire month of August. The Nasdaq was supported by AI and large technology stocks, with an approximate 3.9% gain for August; the S&P 500 rose about 2.6%, and the Dow Jones index increased for the fifth consecutive month.
2. Savicoin Perpetual Contract Market
| Symbol | Reference Price | 24h Change | 24h Volume (USDT) |
| NVDAUSDT | $220.37 | +1.30% | 2.548K |
| TSLAUSDT | $367.95 | +5.50% | 560.204K |
| AAPLUSDT | $319.23 | -0.15% | 4.922K |
| MSFTUSDT | $510.18 | -0.65% | 12.604K |
| AMZNUSDT | $258.47 | -2.99% | 3.311K |
| METAUSDT | $571.73 | -1.09% | 14.116K |
| SNDKUSDT | $1,467.07 | -1.21% | 2.768M |
| SPYUSDT | $765.65 | -0.48% | 28.266K |
Note: Reference prices and changes are based on the corresponding US stocks/ETF closing prices during regular trading hours on August 31.Savicoin US stock perpetual contract actual transaction prices may differ due to trading hours, market liquidity, and price fluctuations.
3. Market Observations
On August 31, the market’s core focus further shifted to:
Warsh’s policy signals|Fed rate hike expectations|Oil prices|Geopolitical risks|US Treasury yields|Tech stock valuations
Following the Jackson Hole meeting, market judgments about the Fed’s future policy path have clearly become more cautious.
Warsh’s emphasis on inflation risks has led the market to reassess the September rate decision.
Meanwhile, the Middle East situation has driven oil prices sharply higher, adding to inflationary pressures.
Rising oil prices → Increased inflation expectations → Reduced Fed rate cut space → Higher US Treasury yields → Pressure on high-valuation tech stocks
has become a key trading logic in the current market.
However, the fundamentals of the AI industry chain remain strong.
NVIDIA’s strong earnings continue to support the long-term AI investment thesis, while Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, and other large tech companies continue to increase investments in AI infrastructure.
Therefore, the market is not simply entering a full risk-off mode but is showing:
Rising macro interest rate pressure|Strong AI fundamentals|Ongoing sectoral divergence
4. Key Stock|NVDAUSDT
NVDA remains a key indicator for the global AI and technology sectors.
NVIDIA FY2027 Q2 Core Earnings
• Revenue: $96.221 billion|YoY +106%
• Data Center Revenue: $89.0 billion|YoY +117%
• Non-GAAP EPS: $2.22
• GAAP Gross Margin: 75.0%
• Q3 Revenue Guidance: $108.0 billion ±2%
• Q3 Gross Margin Guidance: 74.0% ±0.5 percentage points
After NVIDIA’s earnings release on August 27, the stock surged significantly, retraced on August 28, and then rose again on August 31 to $220.89, up approximately 1.54%.
The market currently continues to focus on:
• AI data center demand
• Vera Rubin volume progress
• AI capital expenditure by large tech companies
• Data center business growth rate
• Gross margin changes
• Q3 revenue realization
• AI chip orders and supply status
• Whether NVIDIA’s future growth can continue to be realized
The trading logic for NVIDIA has shifted from simply “earnings beat expectations” to:
AI demand sustainability|Capital expenditure|Profit growth|Valuation levels|Earnings realization
NVDA’s subsequent price trend may continue to influence semiconductor stocks such as AMD, MU, SNDK, MRVL, AVGO, and further affect overall Nasdaq risk appetite.
5. Key News on August 31
1. US Stocks Affected by Rising Oil Prices and Geopolitical Risks
On August 31, US-Iran related military conflicts led to a decline in market risk appetite.
International oil prices rose significantly, with Brent crude breaking above $90 per barrel.
The market is concerned that rising energy prices could once again push inflation higher and further limit the Fed’s future rate cut space.
Key focus areas:
• Crude oil prices
• US inflation
• US Treasury yields
• US Dollar Index
• Geopolitical risks
• Federal Reserve policy
2. September Rate Hike Expectations Rise Sharply
Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole continues to influence the market.
After his emphasis on inflation risks, the market’s expectations for a Fed rate hike at the September meeting have clearly increased, with current pricing indicating over a 60% probability of a 25 basis point hike.
This means the market will likely focus more on:
CPI|Employment data|Core inflation|Wage growth|US Treasury yields
If future data do not demonstrate inflation moving sustainably toward the 2% target, the Fed may maintain a tight policy stance.
3. AI Sector Fundamentals Remain Strong
Despite rising macro interest rate pressures, the AI investment thesis has not fundamentally changed.
NVIDIA’s latest earnings show:
Revenue of $96.221 billion, up 106% YoY
Data center business reached approximately:
$89.0 billion, up 117% YoY
Strong performance continues to support AI infrastructure investment logic.
The market continues to watch:
NVDA|AVGO|MU|SNDK|MRVL|AMD|MSFT|META|AMZN
Among them, NVIDIA and Sandisk performed strongly on August 31, with Sandisk rising about 5.66%, indicating that some AI, storage, and semiconductor funds remain active.
4. Large Tech Stocks Show Continued Divergence
The technology sector showed clear performance differences on August 31.
NVIDIA rose about 1.54%, Tesla about 5.64%, Sandisk about 5.66%, and Amazon about 3.97%.
In contrast:
Apple -1.05%|Microsoft about -1.13%|Meta about -0.14%
Market funds have not fully exited tech stocks but continue to concentrate on AI, semiconductors, and some high-growth names.
5. Overall Strong US Stock Performance in August
Although US stocks closed lower on August 31, the main indices still posted gains for the entire month of August.
The S&P 500 rose about 2.6%, Nasdaq increased about 3.9%, and the Dow Jones index rose about 1.3% for the fifth consecutive month.
This indicates that overall market risk appetite has not fully weakened.
The biggest variables remain:
Whether AI fundamentals can continue to be realized|Whether the Fed will hike|Whether oil prices will continue rising|Whether US Treasury yields will break key levels
6. Focus for Today
Entering September, the market’s key focus lines are:
Federal Reserve policy|US inflation|Oil prices and geopolitical risks|NVIDIA and AI|US Treasury yields
Key tech stocks to watch:
NVDA|META|MSFT|SNDK|AMZN|TSLA
Among them, NVDA remains the most important directional indicator for the AI and semiconductor sectors.
If oil prices continue to rise and further push up inflation expectations, US Treasury yields may continue to climb, and high-valuation tech stocks could face valuation pressure.
If subsequent inflation data show significant improvement and the labor market cools, market expectations for a Fed policy shift may re-emerge, benefiting tech and growth stock valuations.
Therefore, the market in September may gradually shift from purely AI earnings trading to a trading environment driven by:
AI fundamentals + Interest rate expectations + Inflation + Geopolitical risks
combined.
7. Today’s Trading Sessions Reminder
US Stock Trading Hours|21:30–04:00 (Beijing Time)
Market liquidity and trading activity are usually high.
Pre-market and After-hours|16:00–21:30 / 04:00–08:00
Liquidity is relatively lower; be cautious of rapid price fluctuations around major economic data releases, earnings reports, and macro events.
Regular US Stock Trading Days
The market returns to normal trading rhythm in September.
Focus on US economic data, Fed policy expectations, and large tech stock movements.
Savicoin US Stock Perpetual Contracts
Actual trading times and prices are subject to the Savicoin platform display.
During US stock market holidays, related perpetual contracts may still trade; pay close attention to market liquidity, price deviations, and potential gap risks on the next trading day.
8. Next Week’s Market Focus
After entering September, market attention may further shift to:
US employment data|Inflation data|Fed September meeting|US Treasury yields|AI capital expenditure|Semiconductor sector|Oil prices and geopolitical risks
The Fed’s September meeting will be one of the core macro events.
If inflation remains above target, the Fed may maintain a tight policy or even hike further.
If inflation cools significantly, the market may reprice easing expectations.
Meanwhile, NVIDIA’s post-earnings stock performance and whether AI capital expenditure continues to grow will determine if tech sector fundamentals can offset valuation pressure from a high interest rate environment.
9. Risk Warning
US stock perpetual contracts are leveraged trading products and may experience significant price volatility.
Earnings reports of large tech companies, US economic data, Fed policy signals, crude oil prices, geopolitical events, and changes in US Treasury yields can all have a major impact on the market.
Especially around Fed meetings, CPI releases, employment data, and major geopolitical events, the market may experience rapid price and liquidity changes.
Please manage position sizes and leverage prudently and pay close attention to market liquidity, price volatility, and leveraged trading risks.
10. Disclaimer
This article is for market information reference only and does not constitute any investment or trading advice.
Related market data come from public markets and the Savicoin platform; different data sources may have pricing and timing differences.
Savicoin US stock perpetual contracts are continuous trading products; actual transaction prices, mark prices, and settlement prices may differ from corresponding US stock spot market prices.
Users should independently judge based on their own situation and bear related trading risks themselves.
Savicoin Team
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